India's Covid-19 pandemic lockdown is now giving headaches to the national security agencies. Youth, left jobless during the pandemic, are reported to be joining the banned rebel groups such as the United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA) and other such, in droves.
Adding to this are the reports of a large consignment of China-made weapons reaching the hands of the secessionist Myanmar-based radical groups, who share close links with militant groups in India's Northeast.
The emerging scenario is threatening to upset the delicate balance achieved through years of hard work by the Indian security and intelligence officers, according to senior executives in the national security establishment, who requested to stay unnamed, citing government service rules.
The Arakan Army (AA) — which seeks an independent homeland in Myanmar's Rakhine state — has received the fresh cache of Chinese weapons and is known to be one of the key suppliers of arms and ammunition to the rebel groups in Northeast India.
In addition, the AA opposes India's Kaladan Multi Modal Project, which provides states like Mizoram — a landlocked province — an outlet to the sea through the Sittwe port in Myanmar, officials said. Interestingly the AA has not opposed the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor.
Security agencies have told the government that insurgent groups active along the Indo-Myanmar border find easy recruits among youth left unemployed by Covid-19 pandemic lockdown.
"The successful induction of the Chinese-made weapons by the AA will have an impact on the security situation in India's Northeastern states, as much of these weapons are finding their way to some of the dormant militant groups of the Northeast," the official said.
"The new weapons provide firepower to the northeastern groups whose ranks are increasing as youth left jobless by the pandemic are signing for militant groups."
Strengthened by new recruits and rearmed, the Khaplang faction National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN-K) — a banned militant group of Northeast based out of Myanmar — is gathering along the Indo-Myanmar Border in areas such as Mon to plan and execute attacks against the Indian security forces.
In 2016, the NSCN (K) killed 18 soldiers of the Indian Army, forcing India to launch cross border strikes on the militant hideouts taking refuge in Myanmar.
Worryingly, for India, peace talks with the Naga rebel groups have failed despite efforts of the Narendra Modi government.
Agencies have warned that groups like the People's Democratic Council of Karbi Longri (PDCK) had recruited 15 fresh cadres in Assam. "There was recruitment of 10-15 cadres by the Karbi People's Liberation Tiger in the outfit," the source said.
Further, United Liberation Front of Assam (ULFA) had recruited 15-20 youths in the outfit from Meghalaya.
In Tripura, intelligence input indicates that extremist Parimal Debbrama of National Liberation Front of Tripura (NLFT) is trying to revive his group and some newly recruited members of the outfit had completed their basic training in a hideout of Khagrachari District of Bangladesh.
"These cadres are planning to infiltrate into India for operations," the source further added.
Intelligence agencies also stated that the India-Myanmar border remained susceptible to threat due to the presence of insurgent groups.
"Many insurgents groups are camping in Myanmar and trying to infiltrate through Tirap, Longding and Changlang districts of Arunachal Pradesh, Mon District of Nagaland and Charaideo district of Assam," the source said..
